Skip to Main Content

Strategic Reframing: The Oxford Scenario Planning Approach

Online ISBN:
9780191807695
Print ISBN:
9780198745693
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
Book

Strategic Reframing: The Oxford Scenario Planning Approach

Rafael Ramírez,
Rafael Ramírez

Fellow in Strategy and Director of the Oxford Scenarios Programme

Fellow in Strategy and Director of the Oxford Scenarios Programme, Said Business School, University of Oxford
Find on
Angela Wilkinson
Angela Wilkinson

Strategic Foresight Counsellor

Strategic Foresight Counsellor, Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)
Find on
Published online:
19 May 2016
Published in print:
1 March 2016
Online ISBN:
9780191807695
Print ISBN:
9780198745693
Publisher:
Oxford University Press

Abstract

In a fast paced world of more disruptive changes and connected challenges, leaders and their organizations are searching for new ways to survive and succeed. Many different approaches to scenario planning have emerged in the last few decades. This book introduces the distinctive approach to scenario planning that the three authors have together developed in the University of Oxford over the last dozen years: the Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (OSPA). The OSPA is distinctive in helping leaders and strategists realize their role in using scenarios in planning to enable their organizations to learn faster and better about changing conditions. This contrasts with the conventional approach to strategy which relies on knowing about the future. In following the OSPA approach to engage TUNA conditions (turbulence, uncertainty, novelty, and ambiguity), planners can find ways to create their future, identify new challenges, and avoid missing unprecedented opportunities. The OSPA enables strategists and policymakers to become more capable and flexible futures thinkers and, more importantly, to realize the value of this in rethinking what is going on and what can and should be done. The core emphasis in the OSPA is on the role of scenarios in supporting a cycle of prospective sensemaking that involves framing and reframing future contexts to enhance the exercising—indeed, the quality—of leadership judgment, enable reperception of possibilities, and, in turn, clarify strategic choices and identify more and better options. The book also explains theory and reviews methodological choices.

Contents
Close
This Feature Is Available To Subscribers Only

Sign In or Create an Account

Close

This PDF is available to Subscribers Only

View Article Abstract & Purchase Options

For full access to this pdf, sign in to an existing account, or purchase an annual subscription.

Close