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The African American Electorate, the Democratic Presidential Primaries, and Dead Certainty The African American Electorate, the Democratic Presidential Primaries, and Dead Certainty
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The African American Electorate, the Red State/Blue State Divide, and Dead Certainty The African American Electorate, the Red State/Blue State Divide, and Dead Certainty
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The African American Electorate, the South and Dead Certain The African American Electorate, the South and Dead Certain
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The African American Electorate, the Red State/Blue State Divide, and the Obama Victory: The Conclusion The African American Electorate, the Red State/Blue State Divide, and the Obama Victory: The Conclusion
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The 2010 Midterm Elections: Dead Certainty Revisited The 2010 Midterm Elections: Dead Certainty Revisited
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Notes Notes
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Three Dead Certain: The Election of Barack Obama and Its Implications for Racial Politics
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Published:September 2011
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Abstract
This chapter demonstrates how the common assumptions of many political scientists and pundits were found to be false during Senator Obama's campaign. It identifies one link and commonality that few observers have acknowledged or even delineated, and that is the African American electorate as voters. Most observers either overstated and/or overdemonstrated via statistical voting models a single characteristic of African American voters, their heavy Democratic voting, to the exclusion of all other characteristics such as turnout, the increase of which in this election proved to be decisive. In this election, the African American voter characteristics have had to take an epistemic back seat to an endless emphasis on either the nation's clamor for change or a biracial and post-civil rights candidate, an emphasis that rarely acknowledged or spoke to this community, their political issues, or their progressive public policy concerns. Barely anything was said about turnout.
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