432. An Outbreak of Coronavirus Disease, 2019 (COVID-19) in a Skilled Nursing Facility – California, 2021: Description, Mitigation, Challenges, and Opportunities

Abstract Background Skilled nursing facility (SNF) residents comprised 11% of all COVID-19 cases in the United States; however, they account for 43% of deaths with case fatality rates (CFR) of 26.0-33.7%. Methods We report an outbreak of COVID-19, from June 15 to July 21, 2020 in a 159-bed SNF with a staff of 172 that resulted in an infection rate of 97% in residents and 23% in HCWs (Figure 1). A retroactive review outlined mitigation efforts, discussed challenges, identified risk factors among residents and health care workers (HCW) for acquisition of COVID-19, and reviewed opportunities for improvement (Figure 2). Figure 1. Epi Curve of COVID-19 Outbreak in a Skilled Nursing Facility Figure 2. Timeline of COVID-19 Outbreak in a Skilled Nursing Facility Results Factors that contributed to the outbreak: delay in test results had an impact on cohorting; suboptimal adherence to the principles of infection prevention and control (IPC) and minimal adherence monitoring; strict criteria were used to screen for infection; the underappreciated transmissibility of COVID-19 from presymptomatic and asymptomatic persons; symptomatic HCWs who continued to work; the changing guidance on, the suboptimal use of, and an inadequate supply of personal protective equipment; poor indoor air quality due to ventilation challenges; and the important role of community/family/interfacility spread on the outbreak. Whole genome sequencing, performed in 52 samples, identified a common strain that was also found in clusters of 2 other facilities: 1 in the same geographic location, the other in a different geographic location but whose HCWs had the same zip codes as the facility (Figure 3). Certified nursing and restorative nursing assistants had the highest risk of infection with an odds ratio (OR) of 4.02 (confidence interval 1.29-12.55, p value: 0.02) when compared to registered and licensed vocational nurses. The residents’ CFR was 24%. The OR for death was increased by 10.5 (10.20-11.00) for every decade of life as was morbid obesity (BMI > 35) with an OR of 8.50. BMI as a continuous variable increased risk of mortality for every additional unit, OR 1.07 (Tables 1, 2). Whole Genome Sequencing of Isolates from a Skilled Nursing Facility Outbreak Univariate Analysis of Selected Variables Associated with Mortality among Residents at Facility A during COVID-19 Outbreak, June 19 - July 21, 2021 Multivariate Analysis of Factors Associated with Mortality from COVID-19 after Adjusting for Age among Residents (N =124) of Facility A, June 15 - July 21, 2020 Conclusion While implementation of optimal IPC measures in the pre-COVID-19 vaccination era had no impact on the infections in residents who were likely already infected or exposed at the onset of the outbreak, these measures along with non-pharmacologic strategies were effective in halting the spread among HCWs. Disclosures All Authors: No reported disclosures

Results. Factors that contributed to the outbreak: delay in test results had an impact on cohorting; suboptimal adherence to the principles of infection prevention and control (IPC) and minimal adherence monitoring; strict criteria were used to screen for infection; the underappreciated transmissibility of COVID-19 from presymptomatic and asymptomatic persons; symptomatic HCWs who continued to work; the changing guidance on, the suboptimal use of, and an inadequate supply of personal protective equipment; poor indoor air quality due to ventilation challenges; and the important role of community/family/interfacility spread on the outbreak. Whole genome sequencing, performed in 52 samples, identified a common strain that was also found in clusters of 2 other facilities: 1 in the same geographic location, the other in a different geographic location but whose HCWs had the same zip codes as the facility (Figure 3). Certified nursing and restorative nursing assistants had the highest risk of infection with an odds ratio (OR) of 4.02 (confidence interval 1.29-12.55, p value: 0.02) when compared to registered and licensed vocational nurses. The residents' CFR was 24%. The OR for death was increased by 10.5 (10.20-11.00) for every decade of life as was morbid obesity (BMI > 35) with an OR of 8.50. BMI as a continuous variable increased risk of mortality for every additional unit, OR 1.07 (Tables 1, 2). Multivariate Analysis of Factors Associated with Mortality from COVID-19 after Adjusting for Age among Residents (N =124) of Facility A, June 15 -July 21, 2020 Conclusion. While implementation of optimal IPC measures in the pre-COVID-19 vaccination era had no impact on the infections in residents who were likely already infected or exposed at the onset of the outbreak, these measures along with non-pharmacologic strategies were effective in halting the spread among HCWs.
Disclosures. Background. As of May 2, 2021, U.S. nursing homes (NHs) have reported >651,000 COVID-19 cases and >132,000 deaths to CDC's National Healthcare Safety Network. Since U.S. COVID-19 vaccination coverage is increasing, we investigate the role of vaccination in controlling future COVID-19 outbreaks.
Methods. We developed a stochastic, compartmental model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in a theoretical 100-bed NH with a staff of 99 healthcare personnel (HCP) in a community of 20,000 people. We modeled admission and discharge of residents (parameterized with Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services data), assuming the following: temporary replacement of HCP when tested positive; daily visits to NH residents; isolation of COVID-19 positive residents; personal protective equipment (PPE) use by HCP; and symptom-based testing of residents and staff plus weekly asymptomatic testing of HCP and facility-wide outbreak testing once a COVID-19 case is identified. We systematically varied coverage of an mRNA vaccine among residents and HCP, and in the community. Simulations also varied PPE adherence, defined as the percentage of time in the facility that HCP properly used recommended PPE (25%, 50% or 75% of the time). Infection was initialized in the community with 40 infectious cases, and initial infection in the NH was allowed after 14 days of vaccine dose 1. Simulations were run for 6 months after dose 2 in the NH. Results were summarized over 1000 simulations.
Results. At 60% community coverage, expected cumulative symptomatic resident cases over 6 months were ≤5, due to low importation of COVID-19 infection from the community, with further reduction at higher coverage among HCP ( Figure  1). Uncertainty bounds narrowed as NH resident coverage or PPE adherence increased. Results were similar if testing of staff and residents stopped. Probability of an outbreak within 4 weeks of dose 2 remained below 5% with high community coverage (Figure 2). In each panel, we plotted the mean number of cumulative symptomatic cases of COVID-19 in NH residents after 6 months since vaccine dose 2 (given 28 days after dose 1) and their 90% confidence interval (CI) for three healthcare personnel (HCP) coverage scenarios: 40%, 60%, or 80%. Coverage in HCP was independently modeled of community coverage. The top row is for NH resident coverage of 65%, the middle for 75%, and the bottom row for 85%. The columns (left to right) are for facility-level PPE adherence of 25% (low adherence), 50% (intermediate adherence), and 75% (high adherence). Weekly asymptomatic testing of HCP and twice-weekly outbreak testing in the facility were modeled with an assumed point-of-care test sensitivity of 80% (symptomatic persons) and 60% (asymptomatic persons) and with specificity of 100% and test turnaround time of 15 minutes. An outbreak is defined as an occurrence of 2 or more cases within 4 weeks of dose 2. Probability of no outbreak was calculated by counting how many simulations out of a total of 1000 simulations had ≤1 symptomatic case in NH residents or HCP within 4 weeks after dose 2 was administered in the nursing home. The first vaccine dose in residents and HCP was assumed to be given on day 1, and the second dose 28 days later. A probability value and its 90%-confidence interval (CI) at a given community and HCP coverage was calculated by pooling model outputs for 9 sets (3 PPE adherence values X 3 resident coverage levels) of model simulations. Simulations were performed assuming no asymptomatic testing or facility-wide outbreak testing.
Conclusion. Results suggest that increasing community vaccination coverage leads to fewer infections in NH residents. Testing asymptomatic residents and staff may have limited value when vaccination coverage is high. High adherence to recommended PPE may increase the likelihood that future COVID-19 outbreaks can be contained.
Disclosures. John A. Jernigan, MD, MS, Nothing to disclose