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BARUCH FISCHHOFF, ANDREW M. PARKER, WÄNDI BRUINE DE BRUIN, JULIE DOWNS, CLAIRE PALMGREN, ROBYN DAWES, CHARLES F. MANSKI; Teen Expectations for Significant Life Events, Public Opinion Quarterly, Volume 64, Issue 2, 1 August 2000, Pages 189–205, https://doi.org/10.1086/317762
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